Bet # 20-22

Been a busy boy today, ripping out and partially fitting a new bathroom.  Due to this, I haven't had much time to bet.

I lost £5.00 on the Hamilton v Rangers game.  It was 3-3 last week, yet today was just shite!  Rangers took the lead in the 77th minute, but it was too late for me to recuperate anything, having backed at 3.0

I then tried my luck in one of the Prem games that The Syndicate never backed.  Wolves v Wigan.  The late first goal meant that I was never going to make a fortune so I hedged to cover any losses and broke even as the game ended 2-0

Finally (for this post) I took +2.5 in the Everton v Man City game, staking my entire £14.45 pot on +2.5 goals @ 2.08, laying at 1.32 when Saha slotted in the second.  I stand to break even, or make £10.68 if another goal is scored.

* Additional - I've put £5.00 on +2.5 in Egypt v Mozambique @ 2.40, and will lay as soon as the fist goal goes in.  I'm also tempted to take Real Madrid away at Athletico Bilbao, but will await better odds than 1.83.  £5.00 will go on that @ 2.00 or greater.

Bet # 17 - 19

Updating from yesterday, I had a bit of a poor day.  Without going into details...

Won £0.12 on Udinese v Lumezanne
Lost £10.00 on Blackburn v Fulham
Won £6.83 on Ivory Coast v Ghana

Bets 17-19 : -£3.05
Total Pot : £19.45

7 minutes... 7 pounds...

It took only 7 minutes for Chievo to get on the scoresheet, and immediately the odds of laying +2.5 dropped to 1.5

Backing the lay has made me the following:

-2.5 goals = £6.77
+2.5 goals = £7.62

Bet # 16

This one is on the Italians Fiorentina v Chievo, again taking +2.5.  I'm desperate to get back in the black, so this is an all or nothing encounter...

£14.87 @ 2.28

Bet # 15

Post-event updates here, as I was quite busy yesterday...

Basically, I won £2.39 on the Cameroon v Gabon 1-1 draw - same system, back +2.5, lay under.

Bet # 15 : +£2.39
Total Pot : £14.87

Results

Last night was a poor night in the FA Cup, with lack of goals in the games I selected.

Bet # 12-14 : -£6.29
Total Pot : £12.48

Bet # 12 - 14

Bet # 11 was won within 15 minutes, hedging to £1.10 if under, and £1.12 over the 2.5 goals.  Almost instantly, another goal goes in.

Bet # 11 : +£1.06
Total P&L : £18.77

Bet # 12 - 13 is £2.00 on +2.5 goals in the Bristol v Cardiff (@ 2.4) and the Coventry v Pompey (@ 2.3) FA Cup ties.  Bet 14 is a bigger gamble, £4.81 on +2.5 goals in the Birmingham v Nottm Forest (@ 2.54) encounter.

I'll be keeping tabs on these in-play so expect hedging as and when...

Bet # 11

Sticking with the African Cup of Nation theme, I'm going for +2.5 goals for the relatively unknown Mozambique vs the relatively unknown Benin.

£2.00 goes on this at odds of 2.66 - match kicking off at 18:30

Update

Ok, had one final bet for Monday, and it was on the nil-score bore of Ivory Coast v Burkina Faso.

Bet # 9 : -£2.00
Total Pot : £16.29

Bet # 10 was more successful, hedged so that I made profit either way on Egypt v Nigeria on the +2.5 goals market.  56 minutes and it's 2-1 to egypt, and £1.42 to Ralph. :)

Bet # 10 : +£1.42
Total Pot : £17.71

One small win for Ralph... One giant leap for Incremental...

It's goals galore in the African Cup of Nations - Malawi currently 3-0 up against Algeria.

I don't know why I hedge... (yes I do - cos the minute I don't it'll be a low scoring game!)

Bet # 8 : +£0.46
Total Pot : £18.30

Bet # 8 - It's another +2.5er

The 2008 African Cup of Nations produced 99 goals, and already the 2010 tournament is looking promising for many more.  That's an approximate of about 3.09 per game!

In last nights opener, Angola were 4-0 up against Mali with 11 minutes to go, and the match ended 4-4.  For this reason, I can see a lot of wins for the +2.5 goals market.

Today I've picked for +2.5 in the Malawi v Algeria game which kicks off at 13:45.  With odds of 2.48, this looks like good return for my £2.00 stake.

* In-play at 17 minutes (Malawi having just taken the lead) played and the hedge looks like this
-2.5 goals = +£1.16
+2.5 goals = +£0.48

Balance after bet # 7

Well a win is a win, and if I get a bigger pot then more money will go on these thus bigger profits.

Currently though, Barca's game ended 5-0 and Juve got beat off Milan 3-0 - I won £0.23 and £0.11 respectively.

Bet # 6 : +£0.11
Bet # 7 : +£0.23
Total Pot : £17.84

Final Try x2

Seeing as I'm losing nothing on Juve v AC, I've stuck £2.00 on the Tenerife v Barca game @ 2.12 for +2.5 goals.  It's 23 minutes gone and nothing yet...

* Barca take the lead... and I whack on my counter bet

-2.5 goals = +£0.80
+2.5 goals = +£0.24

I can get used to this...

Final Try?

The Real Madrid game ended up 2-0, and when the goals came, they never made the under 3.5 odds favourable enough.

Bet # 5 : -£2.00
Total Pot : £17.49

I've gone for +2.5 again in the Juventus v AC Milan game, and might go for Barca if the odds on +2.5 go above 2.00

* AC Milan take a 1-0 lead, and I've offset backing -2.5 goals.

-2.5 goals = +£0.32
+2.5 goals = +£0.12

Bet # 5 - Third time lucky

Going for it again, this time with Real Madrid at home to Mallorca.

£2.00 on +3.5 goals @ 2.30

Bet # 4 - Let's try it again

£2.00 on +2.5 goals in the Greek Super League between AEK and Atromitos @ 2.02

* Bing - 1-0 to Atromitos after 10 minutes, so I've laid the 2.5 goals @ 3.55

-2.5 goals = £3.10 profit
+2.5 goals = £0.04 profit

Score at half time... 2-1.

Bet # 4 : +£0.04
Total Pot : £19.49

At least no loss...

Final score 1-1 meaning no profit for me, but more positively, no loss :)

Bet # 3 : +/-£0.00
Total Pot : £19.45

Can't lose!

I've hedged in the Leicester v Ipswich game, by putting another bet on (£2.00 on less than 2.5 goals @ 3.00) I cannot lose in either outcome.

With the current score 1-0 to Ipswich, if more than 2.5 goals are scored in the game, I get £0.16, less than 2.5 I get £2.00.

Yes, this is only pennies, but I'm going to have to get used to in-play hedging as I want to keep on taking the "no-lose" stance to build up the pot :)

* Half-time edit - The score is now 1-1 at half time so I'm going to again hedge, and put on +2.5 goals again.  This way, under 2.5 goals, I break even (lose nothing) and if it is more, which I think it will be, I will win (depending on odds at time of bet).

** took it @ 1.32, so it's win nothing or £0.80 = zero risk...  I like it!

Bet # 3

Today sees Leicester take on Ipswich.  I've gone for £2.00 on +2.5 goals in the game @ 2.08

Kick off is at 15:00

One step forward, two steps back...

Brum v Manyoo ended as a 1-all draw, meaning, obviously, less than 2.5 goals.

Bet # 2 : -£2.16
Total Pot : £19.45

Bet # 2

Birmingham play Manyoo in 35 minutes time, and as I've already had a win on +2.5 goals at the Emirates, I'm going to throw it away taking the same for this game.

£2.16 goes on +2.5 goals @ 2.20

Off to a winning start...

81 minutes in to the Arsenal v Everton game at the Emirates, and Steven Pienaar has just scored the third goal of the game, giving Everton a 2-1 lead.

Not bothered about the rest of the game, my bet has won :)

Over at the daily tenner however, and it's looking like another loss... Oh dear.

Bet # 1 Profit : £1.61
Total Pot : £21.61

The Incremental Is Back... Too!

I've decided (been allowed) to re-start the incremental.

Starting up again with £20, the only differences this time round is that minimum bet is £2.00 (so at worst case I have 10 bets and am bust) and that I'm not sticking to 1 bet every day.  There may be more, there may be less, but only one at a time.

So first bet is £2.00 on Arsenal v Everton to have +2.5 goals in the game (providing it goes ahead at 3pm) @ 1.85